Topics of Discussion
Boeing Perspective
Worldwide Accident Rates
Hull Loss vs Fatality Risk
Addressing Risk
Conclusions and Recommendations
Copyright © 2007 Boeing. (...) All rights reserved.
0
10
20
30
40
50
59 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
All accident rate
Fatal accident rate
Hull loss accident rate
Onboard fatalities
Accident Rates and Onboard Fatalities by Year Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2010
Annual
onboard
fatalities
Annual
accident
rate
(accidents
per million
departures)
Year
17 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
Copyright © 2009 Boeing. All rights reserved.
487 Fatal accidents with hull loss
25 Fatal accidents with
substantial damage
57 Accidents without substantial
damage (but with serious injuries)
88 Fatal accidents without substantial damage
Total 1757
676 Substantial damage without fatalities
1959 Through 2010
600 Fatal Accidents (34% of Total)
1157 Non-Fatal Accidents (66% of Total)
424 Hull loss without fatalities
87 Fatal Accidents (22% of Total)
72 Fatal acc. w/ hull loss
2 Fatal accidents with substantial damage
14 Accidents without substantial
damage (but with serious injuries)
13 Fatal accidents without substantial damage
Total 399
180 Substantial damage without fatalities
2001 Through 2010
312 Non-Fatal Accidents (78% of Total)
118 Hull loss without fatalities
Accident Summary by Injury and Damage All Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
Number of Accidents
Number of Accidents
16 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
Copyright © 2009 Boeing.
Language:English
Score: 910459.1
-
https://www.icao.int/APAC/Meet...20for%20APRAST%2002%202012.pdf
Data Source: un
Major Accident: An accident in which any of three conditions is met:
• The airplane was destroyed; or
• There were multiple fatalities; or
• There was one fatality and the airplane was substantially damaged.
(...) For
example, destruction of two airplanes in a collision is considered to be two separate accidents.
Fatal Accident: An accident that results in fatal injury.
(...) N u m
b e r
o f a ir p la
n e s *
(t h o u s a n d s )
A n n u a l d e p a rt
u re
s a
n d f lig
h t h o u rs
( m
ill io
n s )
20,746
22.3
Year
Flight hours
Departures
12,495
Year
Source: Jet Information Services, Inc.
47.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
0
5
10
15
20
25
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Worldwide Fleet
Boeing Fleet
Type of operation All Accidents Fatal Accidents Onboard Fatalities
(External Fatalities)*
Hull Loss Accidents
1959-2010 2001-2010 1959-2010 2001-2010 1959-2010 2001-2010 1959-2010 2001-2010
Passenger
– Scheduled
– Charter
1,390
1,276 114
308
287
21
481
436
45
69
67
2
28,381
(777
24,267
4,114
4,711
(157
4,707
4
669
602
67
132
126
6
Cargo 250
80
75
15
262
(330
46
(74
169
50
Maintenance test, ferry,
positioning, training, and
demonstration
117 11 44 3 208
(66
17
(0
73 8
Totals 1,757 399 600 87 28,851
(1,173
4,774
(231
911 190
U.S. and Canadian Operators 541 75 178 12 6,158
(381
265
(15
219 29
Rest of the World 1,216 324 422 75 22,693
(792
4,509
(216
692 161
Totals 1,757 399 600 87 28,851
(1,173
4,774
(231
911 190
Accident Summary by Type of Operation Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
*External fatalities include on-ground fatalities as well as fatalities on other aircraft involved.
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
)
15 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
487 Fatal accidents with hull loss
25 Fatal accidents with
substantial damage
57 Accidents without substantial
damage (but with serious injuries)
88 Fatal accidents without substantial damage
Total 1757
676 Substantial damage without fatalities
1959 Through 2010
600 Fatal Accidents (34% of Total)
1157 Non-Fatal Accidents (66% of Total)
424 Hull loss without fatalities
87 Fatal Accidents (22% of Total)
72 Fatal acc. w/ hull loss
2 Fatal accidents with substantial damage
14 Accidents without substantial
damage (but with serious injuries)
13 Fatal accidents without substantial damage
Total 399
180 Substantial damage without fatalities
2001 Through 2010
312 Non-Fatal Accidents (78% of Total)
118 Hull loss without fatalities
Accident Summary by Injury and Damage All Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet
Number of Accidents
Number of Accidents
16 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
0
10
20
30
40
50
59 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
All accident rate
Fatal accident rate
Hull loss accident rate
Onboard fatalities
Accident Rates and Onboard Fatalities by Year Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2010
Annual
onboard
fatalities
Annual
accident
rate
(accidents
per million
departures)
Year
17 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
0
10
20
30
40
50
59 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10
1991 Through 2010
Rest of the world
U.S. & Canadian operators
91 92 94 98 00 02 04 06 08 96
Year
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
U.S. and Canadian Operators Accident Rates by Year Fatal Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2010
Rest of the world
U.S. & Canadian operators
Annual
fatal
accident
rate
(accidents
per million
departures)
Year
10
18 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
Hull loss accident rate
10-Year Accident Rates by Type of Operation Fatal and Hull Loss Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 2001 Through 2010
*Charter passenger, charter cargo, scheduled cargo, maintenance test, ferry, positioning, training, and demonstration flights
10-year
accident
rate
(accidents
per million
departures)
Scheduled commercial
passenger operations
168.8 million departures
All other operations*
29.8 million departures
Total
198.6 million departures
Fatal accident rate
0.40
0.75 0.67
0.44
0.96
2.15
2.5
2.0
1.5
0.5
0.0
1.0
19 2010 STATISTICAL SUMMARY, JUNE 2011
3.0
Accident Rates by Airplane Type Hull Loss Accidents – Worldwide Commercial Jet Fleet – 1959 Through 2010
* The Comet, CV880/990, Caravelle, Concorde, Mercure, Trident and VC-10 are no longer in commercial service.
Language:English
Score: 900046.3
-
https://www.icao.int/APAC/Meet...20Release%20%5BRepaired%5D.pdf
Data Source: un
Microsoft Word - peackeepE.doc
OPERATIONS Since 1948 .............................................................................................................................. 56 Current operations.................................................................................................................... 14
PERSONNEL Military personnel and civilian police serving in missions on 30 April 2003 .............................. 36,987 Countries contributing military personnel and civilian police on 30 April 2003 .................. 89 International civilian personnel on 30 April 2003...........................................................................3,303 Local civilian personnel on 30 April 2003 ..................................................................................... 6,787 Total number of fatalities in peacekeeping operations since 1948 as of 30 April 2003..................1,798
FINANCIAL ASPECTS Approved budgets for the period from 1 July 2002 to 30 June 2003 ....................... (...) About $1.37 billion
The term “military personnel” refers to military observers and troops, as applicable. Fatality figures include military, civilian police, and civilian interna- tional and local per- sonnel in UN peace- keeping operations.
(...) Press Kit Fact Sheet 4
UNTSO Since May 1948 United Nations Truce Supervision Organization Strength: military 153; international civilian 103; local civilian 112 Fatalities: 38 Appropriation for year 2003: $25.9 million
UNMOGIP Since January 1949 United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan Strength: military 45; international civilian 24; local civilian 47 Fatalities: 9 Appropriation for year 2003: $9.2 million
UNFICYP Since March 1964 United Nations Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus Strength: military 1,229; civilian police 35; int’l civilian 43; local civilian 105 Fatalities: 170 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $45.6 million (gross) including voluntary contributions of $15.2 million from Cyprus and $6.5 million from Greece Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $44.4 million (gross)
UNDOF Since June 1974 United Nations Disengagement Observer Force Strength: military 1,043; international civilian 38; local civilian 95 Fatalities: 40 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $40.8 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $40.2 million (gross)
UNIFIL Since March 1978 United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon Strength: military 1,990; international civilian 111; local civilian 301 Fatalities: 246 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $117.1 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $91.8 million (gross)
UNIKOM Since April 1991 United Nations Iraq-Kuwait Observation Mission Strength: military 13; international civilian 65; local civilian 162 Fatalities: 17 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $52.9 million (gross) including Kuwait’s voluntary contributions of $35.2 million Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $53.98 million (gross)
MINURSO Since April 1991 United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara Strength: military 230; civilian police 25; int’l civilian 166; local civilian 113 Fatalities: 10 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $43.4 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $42.5 million (gross)
United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia
UNOMIG Since August 1993 United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia Strength: military 116; internationl civilian 102; local civilian 176 Fatalities: 7 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $33.1 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: 30.96 million (gross)
UNMIK Since June 1999 United Nations Interim Administration Mission in Kosovo Strength: civilian police 4,297; military 38; int’l civilian 999; local civilian 3,184 Fatalities: 22 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $345.0 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $315.5 million (gross)
UNAMSIL Since October 1999 United Nations Mission in Sierra Leone Strength: military 14,715; civilian police 112; int’l civilian 306; local civilian 560 Fatalities: 108 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $699.8 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $520.05 million (gross)
MONUC Since November 1999 United Nations Organization Mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo Strength: military 4,684; civilian police 51; international civilian 575; local civilian 710 Fatalities: 13 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $608.3 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $634.8 million (gross)
UNMEE Since July 2000 United Nations Mission in Ethiopia and Eritrea Strength: military 4,080; international civilian 229; local civilian 259 Fatalities: 3 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $230.8 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $198.4 million (gross)
UNMISET Since May 2002 United Nations Mission of Support in East Timor Strength: military 3,484; civilian police 641; international civilian 423; local civilian 848 Fatalities: 10 Approved budget 07/02–06/03: $305.2 million (gross) Proposed budget 07/03–06/04: $188.2 million (gross)
MINUCI Since May 2003 United Nations Mission in Côte d’Ivoire Maximum authorized strength: 26 military liaison officers in the initial period and up to 50 additional officers as needed, and a small civilian staff Estimated financial implications for a one-year period (see S/2003/374/Add.1, 11 April 2003): $26.9 million (gross)
CURRENT PEACEKEEPING OPERATIONS
UNTSO and UNMOGIP are funded from the United Nations regular budget.
Language:English
Score: 887345.9
-
https://www.un.org/en/events/p...rsday/2003/docs/currentops.pdf
Data Source: un
Therefore, the users of this report are invited to use the information presented according to their own safety concerns and operational reality.
2.3 The distribution of global accidents, fatal accidents, and fatalities by region is shown in Table 1 and Figure 1. While Africa accounted for only 5% of total accidents, 45% of all fatalities occurred in that region. North America experienced no fatal accidents, while no accidents occurred in Oceania in 2012. (...) Source: ICAO 2013 Global Safety Report
UN Region Accidents Accident
rate Fatal
accidents Fatalities
% accidents
% fatal accidents
% fatalities
Africa 5 4.8 2 167 5% 22% 45%
Asia 23 2.7 3 161 23% 33% 43%
Europe 30 4.2 3 42 30% 33% 11%
Latin America & the Caribbean
12 3.8 1 2 12% 12% 1%
Northern America
29 2.8 0 0 30% 0% 0%
Oceania 0 0.0 0 0 0% 0% 0%
World 99 3.2 9 372
Figure 1. 2012 Accidents by Region of Occurrence
2.4 According to ICAO Accidents/Incidents Reporting System (ADREP) and European Coordination Centre for Aviation Incident Reporting System (ECCAIRS) statistics1, the number of fatal
1 The ICAO ADREP/ECCAIRS data used in this report was consulted on July 19th, 2013.
Language:English
Score: 885057.7
-
https://www.icao.int/NACC/Docu...4/CARDCAOPSAN/CAROPSANIP05.pdf
Data Source: un
Fatal Work Accidents: ILO Statement on Ranking Turkey in Fatal Work Accidents
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ILO Statement on Ranking Turkey in Fatal Work Accidents ...
Fatal Work Accidents
ILO Statement on Ranking Turkey in Fatal Work Accidents
Several recent media reports on the trial procedure related to the Soma mining accident mention the International Labour Organization (ILO) “ranking Turkey third in the World for fatal work accidents”.
(...) Since the ILO’s statistical database includes information on fatalities in the mining and quarrying industry that can be freely accessed by everyone on our website, we assume that the database was used to rank countries - including Turkey – by outside persons, who drew inaccurate conclusions and quoted ILO as a source.
Language:English
Score: 884071.3
-
https://www.ilo.org/ankara/new...WCMS_372682/lang--en/index.htm
Data Source: un
• Accident classification is based on
• Threat and Error Management (TEM) taxonomy
• Expert opinion
• Use of assumptions
• Processing the data
• Metrics and recommendations
• For a full list of TEM – refer to Safety Report 57th edition
3
ACTF
Safety Performance
4
Review where safety performance is today compared with last 10 years
• Data analyzed from 2011-Half Year (HY) 2021 is used in this presentation
• Data source: Global Aviation Data Management Accident Database eXchnage (GADM ADX)
• Loss of control inflight (LOC-I) and Controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) accidents continue to be the main source of fatal accidents
• This presentation focuses on analysis of LOC-I accidents from
• Global perspective
• AFI based operators
Accident Categories Accident Data: 2011-HY2021
5
LOC-I Accidents - 5-Year Rolling Average
6
• 53 accidents from 2011-HY 2021 • 49 of which were fatal, resulting in 1,858
fatalities • Zero LOC-I accidents in 2020 • 10 involved IATA members and 14 involved
IOSA registered operators • 36 operated on passenger flights and 16 on
cargo flights
• Positive improvement if we look at the 5-year rolling average accident rate
• Insufficient data detracts from accurate safety analysis! • Need to encourage better data
provision
• 7 accidents (13%) could not be classified due to insufficient data
7
When sufficient
data does not exist
LOC-I Accidents vs. Fatal Accidents
• All LOC-I accidents occurring in 2011, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2019 and HY2021 were fatal accidents
• There were zero LOC-I accidents in 2020
• In the first half year 2021, there were three fatal LOC-I accidents
8
LOC-I Fatal Accidents & Fatalities
9
LOC-I Fatality Risk Accident Data: 2011-HY2021
10
LOC-I by Flight Regime Accident Data: 2011-HY2021
• Fatalities were identified in LOC-I accidents that occurred at the initial climb, approach, cruise, takeoff, go- around, landing, descent and en route climb
• Initial Climb incurred the highest fatal accidents and fatalities
• 9 LOC-I fatal accidents involved IATA members and 12 involved IOSA carriers
• 32 LOC-I fatal accidents involved passenger flights and 16 cargo flights
11
LOC-I Accidents
12
• 22 of LOC-I accidents involved jet flights
• 20 accidents were fatal, resulting in 1,447 fatalities
• 7 of which were IATA members and 10 IOSA carriers
• 4 of which were cargo flights and 18 Passenger flights
• 31 of LOC-I accidents involved turboprop fleet
• 29 accidents were fatal, resulting in 411 fatalities
• 3 of which were IATA members and 4 IOSA carriers
• 12 of which were cargo flights and 18 Passenger flights
LOC-I Accidents – Operators based in Africa
13
• 23% (12) of LOC-I accidents involved AFI Operators
• All 12 accidents were fatal, resulting in 411 fatalities
• Looking at the phase of flight, initial climb had the highest accident with 50% (6) of the accidents, resulting in 226 fatalities
• 1 of which was an IATA member and 1 an IOSA carrier
• 5 of which were cargo flights and 6 Passenger flights
Note: 3 accidents could not be classified due to insufficient information
LOC-I Accidents – Operators based in Africa
14
• 17% (2) of LOC-I accidents involved jet passenger flights
• The two accidents were fatal, resulting in 310 fatalities
• 83% (10) of LOC-I accidents involved turboprop fleet
• All 10 accidents were fatal, resulting in 101 fatalities
• They were neither IATA members nor IOSA Carriers
• 5 of which were cargo flights and 4 Passenger flights
Threat and Error Management (TEM)
T E M
15
THREAT
Prevention
Threat
Error
UAS Prevention
Definition - Threats
There are two types of threats:
• Environmental Threats – (e.g., methodology, lack of visual reference, birds and foreign objects, etc…)
• Airline Threats – such as aircraft malfunction, flight controls, MEL Items, etc…)
16
An event or error that occurs outside the influence of the flight crew, but which requires crew attention and management if safety margins are to be maintained.
Language:English
Score: 883580.7
-
https://www.icao.int/ESAF/Docu...orkshop%20Nov11_2021_Final.pdf
Data Source: un
Analysis of accident data from 2006 to 2010 reveals that runway safety is an important
issue that requires more attention.
6
Runway Safety Overview Runway Safety Accidents
Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )
Runway Safety Accidents • Abnormal Runway Contact • Bird strike • Ground Collision • Ground Handling • Runway Excursion • Runway Incursion • Loss of Control on Ground • Collision with obstacle(s) • Undershoot / Overshoot • Aerodrome
59 %
Accidents & Related Fatalities by Occurrence Categories Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )
Runway Safety Overview
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Unknown
Other
Controlled Flight Into Terrain
Loss of Control In-Flight
Turbulence
Non-Impact Fire
System Component Failure
Runway Safety
Accidents Fatal Accidents Fatalities
Worldwide
7
8
Runway Safety Overview
Accidents & Related Fatalities by Occurrence Categories Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )
Focus on MID Region
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Unknown
Other
Controlled Flight Into Terrain
Loss of Control In-Flight
Turbulence
Non-Impact Fire
System Component Failure
Runway Safety
Accidents Fatal Accidents Fatalities
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Unknown
Other
Controlled Flight Into Terrain
Loss of Control In-Flight
Turbulence
Non-Impact Fire
System Component Failure
Runway Safety
Accidents Fatal Accidents Fatalities
48%
9% 13%
4% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Abnormal Runway Contact
RE + RI Ground Handling
Ground Collision Other
9
Focus on Runway Safety Related Accidents
Accidents & Related Fatalities by Occurrence Categories Scheduled Commercial Traffic – MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )
Focus on MID Region
63%
RE & RI Accidents
43%
MID: 85 fatalities for RS
23 runway safety accidents by occurrence category
9
World Average
RE 96%
other 4%
No fatalities are attributable to
Runway Incursions in MID
Global RE: 94% of RS fatalities
There are no Runway
Incursions in MID
Focus on Runway Excursions / Incursions
3%
11%
5%
20%
2% 4% 5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
APAC ESAF EUR/NAT MID NACC SAM WACAF
% of traffic flown by air carriers outside their own region
Source: OAG – 2010 scheduled commercial flights
3%
17%
14% 17%
13%
5%
0% 0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
APAC ESAF EUR/NAT MID NACC SAM WACAF
% of Runways Excursions/Incursions experienced by air carriers outside their own region
Scheduled Commercial Traffic MTOW > 2 250 kg (Yrs 2006- 2010 )
Traffic Accidents
20% 17%
Focus on MID Region
• Air Carriers of the MID Region flew 20% of their total traffic outside the region.
• Air Carriers of the MID Region experienced 17% of their total excursions outside the region.
10
Focus on Runway Excursions / Incursions
MID carriers are just as likely to experiencing a Runway Excursion/ Incursion inside the MID region as outside the region.
Language:English
Score: 877702.7
-
https://www.icao.int/MID/Docum.../s1_p1_the_big_picture_mid.pdf
Data Source: un
News | 22 January 2014
“Seven industries have been reported most hazardous by the number of occupational fatalities for eleven months of last year,” he said. These industries include construction, where 543 workers died, agriculture, where 278 fatalities were reported, motor transport with 80 fatalities, timber logging and wood working industry with 73 fatalities, minerals processing with 71 fatalities, food industry with 56 fatalities and housing and public utility sector with 36 fatalities.
Language:English
Score: 877496.1
-
https://www.ilo.org/moscow/new...WCMS_247352/lang--en/index.htm
Data Source: un
ECE/TRANS/WP.6/2022/1
3
Figure 1
ECE road fatalities over time, by sub-region
6. Figure 1 shows total UNECE fatalities over time (split by sub-region). (...) This modest progress is far away from the 3.6.1 target of
halving fatalities in the 2011-2020 decade. It is also worth noting that seven member States
have seen increases in fatalities since 2015.
8. (...) Of the 22 ECE member States
who have already provided 2020 fatality figures, fifteen saw decreases (in the range of 0-20
per cent) compared to 2019, whereas seven member States saw increases or the same number
of fatalities.
Language:English
Score: 873791.3
-
https://unece.org/sites/defaul...NS-WP.6-2022-01e%20%281%29.pdf
Data Source: un
Young workers are
40% more likely to
experience a non- fatal occupational
injury
860,000 workers suffer from non-
fatal work-related injuries and illnesses around the
world every day.
Young workers are
40% more likely to
experience a non- fatal occupational
injury
6,400 workers die from
occupational injuries and diseases globally every day.
(...) Young workers are
40% more likely to
experience a non- fatal occupational
injury
Young workers are
more likely to experience a non-fatal occupational
injury than older workers.
of Indonesia’s population is below the age of 30.
Language:English
Score: 873540
-
https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/gro...s/presentation/wcms_552686.pdf
Data Source: un
